The Fair Value Model is the core research tool on Fair Value Betting. It compares a fair, no-vig market baseline against the best available sportsbook price for every market it covers. Here's a simple routine for using it.
1. Set your window
Start by choosing Today, Tomorrow, or both. Narrow to a specific market, like moneylines or totals, if you already know what you're looking for, or leave it open to scan everything.
2. Select your sportsbooks
Only include the sportsbooks where you actually hold accounts. The "best price" the model surfaces is only useful if you can actually get it.
3. Set a minimum EV% or odds threshold
If you only want to see stronger opportunities, raise the minimum EV% filter. Negative-EV bets are hidden by default, so the table starts focused on prices that beat the fair baseline.
4. Read the columns
- Fair Odds: the model's no-vig, weighted-consensus estimate of a fair price for that pick.
- Best Book / Best Odds: the sportsbook and price currently offering the most favorable number among your selected books.
- EV%: how favorable the best available price is compared with fair odds. Positive means the price pays more than the consensus says it should.
5. Take it into research, not straight to a bet
A positive-EV row is a starting point, not a conclusion. Open Matchup Center or Prop Research on anything that looks interesting to check the context behind the number before deciding.
What to keep in mind
Positive EV describes the price relative to the market, not the outcome of the bet. A positive-EV bet can lose, and a negative-EV bet can win. The model is built to make the price transparent, not to predict the result.
Go deeper
See the full breakdown of how the model builds its fair probability, step by step.
How the Fair Value Model works →